Inter vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
13.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
PRO
0 - 0
INT
31%
25%
45%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
USA
1 - 2
INT
35%
25%
41%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
INT
1 - 2
TRI
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
ROM
2 - 0
INT
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
INT
6 - 1
PAD
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
NAP
1 - 1
LEO
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
PRO
3 - 2
NAP
18%
18%
64%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
NAP
3 - 0
USC
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
MOD
0 - 5
NAP
23%
19%
58%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
NAP
2 - 0
TOR
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |