Inter vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
INT
2 - 2
PRG
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 2
INT
18%
24%
58%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
53%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
ACM
0 - 0
INT
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 2
INT
18%
24%
58%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
UDI
2 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
MOD
1 - 1
EMP
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
COM
0 - 0
MOD
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |