Inter vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1930 |
INT
3 - 3
BRE
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
TRI
5 - 0
INT
30%
25%
46%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1930 |
INT
5 - 1
CAS
96%
3%
1%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
UNI
2 - 2
INT
25%
24%
50%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
NAP
4 - 1
MOD
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
MOD
4 - 2
GEN
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
CAS
3 - 1
MOD
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1930 |
PRO
3 - 2
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 0
TOR
30%
23%
48%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |