Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 0-5
Inter vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BOL
0 - 1
INT
22%
24%
54%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
ACM
2 - 0
INT
56%
23%
22%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
INT
3 - 2
FIO
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
INT
3 - 1
FCP
62%
22%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LAZ
1 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
ACM
1 - 1
BRE
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
ACM
2 - 0
INT
56%
23%
22%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ROM
0 - 2
ACM
34%
28%
39%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
UDI
4 - 1
ACM
27%
30%
43%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |