Champions League Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Inter vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
ACM
0 - 0
INT
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
24%
25%
52%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
VCF
2 - 1
INT
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 0
ACM
30%
28%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
ACM
0 - 0
INT
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ACM
2 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ROM
2 - 1
ACM
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 2
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |