Inter vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1946 |
INT
6 - 2
TOR
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
NAP
0 - 0
INT
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1946 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
69%
17%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 0
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1946 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
ACM
1 - 0
LIV
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 2
ACM
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 0
TOR
37%
24%
40%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 3
NAP
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |