Inter vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 1
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
INT
2 - 1
VNZ
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
AND
1 - 1
INT
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
TRI
1 - 3
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
INT
1 - 1
TOR
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 4
VIC
72%
16%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
JUV
2 - 2
ACM
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
ACM
3 - 1
BRE
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |