Inter vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
ROM
6 - 0
INT
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
INT
1 - 1
GEN
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
JUV
4 - 0
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
INT
0 - 1
BOL
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
33%
25%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 5
LAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
ACL
1 - 0
ACM
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 5
TOR
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 2
ACM
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 1
VNZ
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |