Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Inter vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
INT
2 - 2
ACM
62%
21%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 1
INT
54%
25%
21%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 0
INT
25%
28%
47%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
MUD
2 - 0
INT
53%
25%
22%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
INT
0 - 0
JUV
55%
23%
22%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUD
27%
24%
50%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
CHL
0 - 2
MUD
38%
25%
37%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
MUD
0 - 0
CHL
60%
22%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
MUD
2 - 0
INT
53%
25%
22%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
MUD
2 - 1
SOU
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |