Inter vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
46%
24%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
INT
4 - 2
JUV
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
SAM
1 - 4
INT
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
INT
6 - 0
USA
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
ASL
1 - 0
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
SAL
5 - 2
ASL
55%
21%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
TOR
6 - 0
ASL
94%
4%
2%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
ASL
1 - 0
BOL
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
ASL
0 - 3
GEN
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |