Inter vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
ASL
3 - 3
INT
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
INT
3 - 0
USA
79%
13%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
GEN
1 - 2
INT
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
INT
2 - 2
NAP
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
INT
2 - 2
BAR
77%
13%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
JUV
2 - 0
LIV
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1935 |
TOR
1 - 0
LIV
64%
18%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAM
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1935 |
NAP
1 - 1
LIV
63%
20%
18%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1935 |
LIV
3 - 1
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |