Inter vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
PAL
1 - 1
INT
30%
26%
43%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
INT
1 - 0
LAZ
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
TOR
1 - 2
INT
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
INT
6 - 1
SAM
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 2
LAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
44%
23%
33%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
SAM
0 - 0
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 2
NAP
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
BRE
4 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |