Inter vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1931 |
BOL
4 - 1
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
INT
2 - 0
USA
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
MOD
2 - 5
INT
39%
24%
36%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
INT
1 - 0
TRI
83%
11%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1931 |
ACM
1 - 4
INT
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1931 |
ROM
7 - 1
LIV
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
LEO
3 - 1
LIV
67%
17%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
LIV
0 - 0
LAZ
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
26%
22%
51%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 2
NAP
17%
18%
65%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |