Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Inter vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
INT
5 - 1
CAG
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 0
INT
42%
26%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
INT
6 - 2
VNZ
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 0
INT
44%
27%
29%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
INT
4 - 1
ROM
56%
23%
21%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
LAZ
4 - 1
PIA
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 3
LAZ
46%
27%
28%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 0
FIO
59%
21%
20%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
BOL
0 - 1
LAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
LAZ
3 - 1
UDI
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |