Inter vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
INT
2 - 0
NAP
56%
26%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
TOR
3 - 3
INT
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
BOG
1 - 2
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
INT
0 - 0
FCC
70%
21%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ASC
0 - 0
LAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
LAZ
4 - 3
VIC
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
FIO
3 - 0
LAZ
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
68%
21%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |