Inter vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
SPA
2 - 0
INT
33%
25%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
INT
0 - 0
TOR
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
INT
6 - 1
SAM
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
BOL
3 - 2
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
ATL
2 - 1
INT
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
LAZ
4 - 3
BOL
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
PAD
3 - 1
LAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
PAL
2 - 6
LAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
LAZ
2 - 2
TOR
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
LAZ
2 - 2
GEN
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |