Inter vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 5
INT
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
INT
5 - 1
ACL
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
TOR
1 - 3
INT
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
VNZ
0 - 2
INT
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
INT
3 - 1
ACM
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BAR
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
BOL
4 - 0
LAZ
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
LAZ
3 - 1
TRI
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 0
LAZ
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
LAZ
5 - 1
ACL
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |