Inter vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
FIO
0 - 0
INT
51%
21%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
INT
3 - 0
LEO
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 2
INT
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
INT
6 - 2
PRO
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
PRO
1 - 1
INT
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
TOR
4 - 2
LAZ
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAL
59%
21%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
NAP
3 - 1
LAZ
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
LAZ
9 - 1
MOD
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |