Inter vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
GEN
1 - 0
INT
54%
22%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
INT
3 - 0
UNI
95%
4%
1%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
INT
5 - 0
ROM
65%
18%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
NAP
0 - 2
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
INT
1 - 1
LIV
83%
11%
7%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BRE
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
LAZ
4 - 0
UNI
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ROM
35%
25%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
USA
1 - 3
LAZ
45%
21%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |