Europa League 1/16
Global 3-3
Inter vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
NAP
0 - 0
INT
39%
28%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
JUV
1 - 1
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
WAR
3 - 2
INT
40%
29%
31%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
INT
1 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
ACM
0 - 0
INT
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1986 |
RCH
0 - 0
WAR
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
WAR
1 - 0
MOT
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
WAR
3 - 2
INT
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
STA
1 - 1
WAR
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
WAR
2 - 0
POG
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |