Europa League Last 16
Global 1-0
Inter vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
INT
1 - 1
JUV
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
INT
1 - 1
NAP
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
INT
4 - 0
LAS
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
FIO
3 - 0
INT
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
INT
2 - 1
ROM
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
LKS
1 - 1
WAR
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
WAR
1 - 0
SLA
68%
19%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
WAR
1 - 1
FHV
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
GOR
1 - 1
WAR
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
MOT
1 - 4
WAR
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |