Intercontinental Final
Global 3-0
Inter vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
INT
5 - 2
VAR
86%
10%
5%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
39%
24%
37%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
ROM
2 - 2
INT
28%
24%
48%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
INT
2 - 2
TOR
78%
14%
8%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
INT
5 - 1
CAT
81%
13%
7%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 1965 |
CEN
1 - 1
IND
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1965 |
IND
2 - 1
BAN
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
IND
0 - 1
VEL
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
ATL
0 - 0
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1965 |
IND
0 - 0
SLO
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |