Intercontinental Final
Global 3-1
Inter vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
INT
2 - 0
IND
74%
15%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
INT
2 - 0
USF
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
VAR
0 - 0
INT
23%
23%
54%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
IND
1 - 0
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1964 |
TOR
4 - 1
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
INT
2 - 0
IND
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
RAC
0 - 1
IND
47%
24%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
IND
1 - 0
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
VEL
0 - 1
IND
33%
24%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1964 |
SLO
3 - 1
IND
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |