Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Inter vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
HKS
0 - 3
INT
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
ACM
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
INT
1 - 0
JUV
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 1
INT
34%
27%
40%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ZAD
2 - 4
HKS
22%
27%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
HKS
0 - 3
INT
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
HKS
1 - 0
SPL
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 0
HKS
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
IST
0 - 0
HKS
24%
27%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |