Inter vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 1
INT
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 2
INT
17%
22%
60%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
SPA
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ROM
1 - 3
INT
67%
19%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
INT
3 - 0
FIO
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 3
LAZ
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 0
GEN
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
MAS
2 - 5
GEN
6%
15%
79%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 4
JUV
12%
22%
66%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |