Inter vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
INT
5 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
INT
4 - 1
LEC
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CES
0 - 1
INT
13%
23%
64%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 1
INT
29%
25%
47%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 2
UDI
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAG
3 - 0
GEN
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
NAP
6 - 1
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 1
BOL
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 1
INT
29%
25%
47%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |