Inter vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
UDI
2 - 3
INT
24%
25%
51%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
INT
2 - 1
CHL
33%
27%
40%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
INT
0 - 0
SAM
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
NAP
0 - 0
INT
17%
24%
58%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
INT
16%
23%
61%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GEN
3 - 4
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GEN
3 - 0
UDI
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 2
GEN
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 0
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NAP
0 - 0
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |