Inter vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
CES
2 - 2
INT
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
INT
2 - 0
AZA
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
INT
2 - 0
ASC
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
PIS
1 - 1
INT
27%
29%
45%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
AZA
1 - 0
INT
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
GEN
1 - 1
AVE
49%
28%
24%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
FCC
2 - 2
GEN
54%
27%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
GEN
2 - 3
UDI
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
GEN
3 - 0
CAG
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
CES
0 - 1
GEN
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |