Inter vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
BAR
2 - 1
INT
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
TOR
3 - 3
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
INT
0 - 2
FIO
74%
15%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1935 |
LAZ
0 - 0
INT
46%
23%
31%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
INT
3 - 0
SAM
85%
9%
6%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
GEN
2 - 2
TRI
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
FIO
2 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
GEN
0 - 2
TOR
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1935 |
BAR
3 - 2
GEN
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAP
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |