Inter vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
ROM
2 - 1
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
LIV
0 - 2
INT
33%
24%
43%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
INT
0 - 1
BOL
69%
16%
14%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
USA
2 - 0
INT
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
BRE
1 - 2
GEN
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 1
ACM
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
TOR
0 - 2
GEN
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
LAZ
5 - 0
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
GEN
3 - 1
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |