Inter vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
TOR
4 - 1
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
INT
5 - 1
BRE
83%
11%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
NAP
3 - 1
INT
41%
24%
34%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
INT
8 - 0
PRO
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
INT
2 - 0
USA
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 0
JUV
46%
24%
31%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAP
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
BRE
4 - 1
GEN
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
BOL
0 - 1
GEN
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
GEN
3 - 1
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |