Inter vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CES
1 - 2
INT
13%
23%
64%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
INT
2 - 1
LAZ
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
43%
26%
32%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
INT
16%
24%
60%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
S04
2 - 1
INT
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
FIO
5 - 2
UDI
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CAG
1 - 2
FIO
41%
26%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 2
ACM
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CES
2 - 2
FIO
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |