Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Inter vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
INT
2 - 1
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
INT
2 - 0
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 2
INT
16%
24%
61%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
INT
4 - 3
SIE
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 1
INT
20%
24%
56%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAG
2 - 2
FIO
34%
28%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PAL
3 - 0
FIO
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 2
LAZ
59%
24%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
BOL
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 2
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |