Inter vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
LAZ
1 - 1
INT
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
UDI
1 - 1
INT
30%
26%
45%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
INT
2 - 1
IKB
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
BRE
2 - 0
INT
19%
26%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
INT
3 - 0
REG
87%
9%
4%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
FIO
3 - 0
UDI
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
ANC
0 - 1
FIO
28%
24%
49%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
FIO
3 - 0
ALZ
87%
10%
3%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
PIS
4 - 2
FIO
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |