Inter vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
AVE
0 - 1
INT
25%
30%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
INT
1 - 0
EMP
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
INT
1 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1987 |
USC
1 - 1
INT
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
TOR
0 - 0
INT
35%
29%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
FIO
1 - 1
EMP
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
FIO
2 - 1
ASC
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
FIO
2 - 2
ACM
49%
28%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
VER
2 - 2
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |