Inter vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
USF
1 - 1
INT
21%
25%
55%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
SAM
0 - 2
INT
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
INT
2 - 0
JUV
58%
25%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
INT
3 - 2
VAR
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
VIC
1 - 2
INT
22%
25%
52%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIC
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
VAR
0 - 0
FIO
26%
28%
46%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
68%
21%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
FIO
3 - 0
USF
69%
21%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
SAM
2 - 2
FIO
29%
29%
42%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |