Inter vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
SAM
0 - 0
INT
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1959 |
INT
2 - 4
FCB
24%
22%
54%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
INT
6 - 3
PAD
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
FIO
3 - 1
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
BOL
3 - 1
FIO
40%
25%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
FIO
2 - 1
NAP
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
UDI
0 - 2
FIO
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1959 |
JUV
3 - 1
FIO
60%
20%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |