Inter vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
BOL
2 - 0
INT
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
INT
2 - 1
SAM
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
MOD
1 - 0
INT
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
INT
1 - 1
LIV
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
VNZ
2 - 1
INT
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1947 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
GEN
5 - 0
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
FIO
0 - 3
ACM
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
FIO
1 - 0
NAP
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |