Inter vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
41%
25%
33%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
INT
5 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
VNZ
1 - 0
INT
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
NOV
1 - 0
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
FIO
2 - 2
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
NAP
0 - 2
FIO
55%
23%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
FIO
4 - 3
GEN
35%
24%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
FIO
3 - 2
TOR
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |