Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Inter vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
CAT
1 - 0
INT
18%
23%
59%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
INT
2 - 2
ROM
76%
15%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1966 |
FIO
2 - 1
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
ATL
0 - 2
INT
17%
23%
60%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
INT
3 - 2
VIC
78%
15%
8%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
PAN
1 - 3
FTC
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
FTC
0 - 0
PAN
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1965 |
FTC
9 - 1
KEF
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
KEF
1 - 4
FTC
43%
23%
34%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1965 |
JUV
0 - 1
FTC
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |