Champions League Last 16
Global 4-2
Inter vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LAZ
1 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
INT
2 - 1
LEC
75%
16%
10%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
INT
0 - 1
ACM
48%
26%
26%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
UDI
1 - 1
INT
25%
25%
50%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
FCP
0 - 4
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 2
FCP
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |