Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 4-3
Inter vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.3%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
INT
0 - 0
NAP
56%
25%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
CAG
1 - 1
INT
16%
27%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
INT
1 - 1
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
INT
0 - 0
BOA
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
LAZ
0 - 1
INT
26%
28%
46%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
COM
1 - 0
USC
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
USC
0 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
COM
0 - 0
CAG
36%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
CAG
0 - 1
COM
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
COM
1 - 2
REG
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |