Inter vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
LAZ
3 - 3
INT
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
BAR
2 - 3
INT
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
BOL
2 - 3
INT
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
INT
1 - 2
COM
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
INT
4 - 2
GEN
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
COM
3 - 1
TRI
49%
22%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
PAD
5 - 2
COM
62%
19%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
COM
4 - 1
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
INT
1 - 2
COM
88%
8%
4%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
COM
4 - 0
ATL
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |