Inter vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CAG
1 - 1
INT
17%
25%
57%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
INT
0 - 2
BYM
53%
24%
23%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
INT
4 - 3
CHI
75%
17%
8%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
38%
26%
36%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
INT
1 - 1
SAM
76%
17%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAT
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CAT
2 - 2
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
PAL
5 - 3
CAT
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CAT
0 - 0
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CAG
0 - 1
CAT
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |