Inter vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
TAR
2 - 2
INT
19%
26%
55%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
INT
0 - 0
VER
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
ATL
1 - 0
INT
27%
30%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
ASC
1 - 0
INT
28%
30%
42%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
CAT
4 - 6
ASC
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
CES
2 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
CAT
0 - 0
CAG
46%
30%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAT
59%
27%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
40%
33%
28%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |