Inter vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1973 |
JUV
4 - 2
INT
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1973 |
INT
1 - 0
REG
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
BOL
1 - 0
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
INT
1 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
REG
0 - 2
INT
12%
21%
67%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 0
CAT
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 2
GEN
45%
32%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAT
49%
31%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CAT
40%
34%
26%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
56%
29%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |