Inter vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
4.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
7.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
1.3%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
6.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
PRO
0 - 0
INT
26%
24%
51%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
NAP
3 - 0
INT
45%
25%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
INT
3 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 2
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
BAR
2 - 3
INT
19%
21%
61%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 1
ROM
17%
20%
63%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 1
PAL
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 0
TRI
47%
22%
31%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |