Inter vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
FIO
1 - 1
INT
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
INT
4 - 0
SAM
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1962 |
INT
2 - 0
VNZ
81%
12%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
INT
1 - 2
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 0
LEC
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
COS
0 - 0
PAD
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
MES
2 - 1
PAD
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
PAD
2 - 0
SSS
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
PAD
3 - 2
UDI
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |