Inter vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
JUV
3 - 2
INT
67%
17%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
SAM
1 - 3
INT
33%
23%
44%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
UDI
2 - 1
INT
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
INT
3 - 1
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ASL
1 - 0
INT
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1952 |
PAD
2 - 1
UDI
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAD
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
PAD
0 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
PAL
4 - 1
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
PAD
5 - 2
ACM
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | +2 |