Inter vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 2
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
TOR
4 - 2
INT
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
INT
4 - 0
ASL
72%
16%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
INT
2 - 2
BOL
66%
18%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 0
INT
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRI
55%
22%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAD
36%
26%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 2
PAD
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
PAD
1 - 4
ACM
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
SAM
0 - 0
PAD
68%
16%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |